CIA Director John Ratcliffe:
"Russian conscripts arriving at the front in Ukraine survive on average only 20 to 30 minutes before being killed or wounded. This is due to Ukraine's extensive use of drones operated by artificial intelligence."
Bloomberg.
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Hormuz Strait Traffic Nearly Halted
Bloomberg reports traffic through the Strait of Hormuz nearly came to a complete stop this morning.
Turkey May Receive 6 F-35 Jets from US
Turkey in line for 6 F-35 jets from the U.S. if Trump lifts the ban on sales to Ankara. - Bloomberg
Saudi Crude Exports Near Pre-War Levels
Saudi crude exports have recovered to near pre-war levels as tankers resume transit through the Strait of Hormuz.
6.3 million barrels a day shipped over the six days through Wednesday, per Bloomberg.
Oman Eyes Transit Fees in Hormuz
Oman has told European allies that ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz may be required to pay fees for services including navigation assistance and pollution control. - Bloomberg
DOJ Probes JPMorgan, Citi Iran Links
The DOJ is investigating JPMorgan and Citigroup over money flows tied to Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei. The probe is focused on how Khamenei built a large investment portfolio with exposure to Wall Street banks, Bloomberg reports.
Iran Arms Flights to Sudan Exposed
After being exposed, Iran continued using the same IRGC-linked Boeing 747 (EP-FAB, Qeshm Fars Air), flying at least 7 confirmed weapons missions to Port Sudan.
Bloomberg reports that Sudan’s military, which has ties to the Muslim Brotherho...
After being exposed, Iran continued using the same IRGC-linked Boeing 747 (EP-FAB, Qeshm Fars Air), flying at least 7 confirmed weapons missions to Port Sudan.
Bloomberg reports that Sudan’s military, which has ties to the Muslim Brotherhood and the IRGC, claims it is now scaling back Iranian arms purchases to improve relations with the Trump administration.
Iranian drones helped the Sudanese Armed Forces regain territory, but Khartoum now sees its ties to Tehran and Iran linked Islamist factions as a growing liability. - Bloomberg
White House Disputes Leaked Iran MOU
JUST IN 🔴
White House Communications Director Steven Cheung, Assistant to the President, says the text of the US Iran MOU obtained by CNN does not reflect the language of the actual MOU.
CNN, Bloomberg, and al Arabiya all leaked essentially the same document except some small changes like “both sides” vs “both parties” or “funding” vs “financing”
Amodei on AI for Intelligence
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei:
I think if AI is used in an appropriate way, not even warfare, but think of intelligence collection
Let's say we're able to predict an invasion of Taiwan or a new movement in Ukraine.
Our adversaries will think twice about conducting some kind of invasion or military operation if we know everything that they're doing.
- Bloomberg
Trump Warns Fed Against Rate Hike
Trump: The Fed would be wrong to raise rates ahead of Kevin Warsh's first policy meeting as chair. - Bloomberg
US Personnel Injured at Kuwait Base
Five U.S. personnel injured at Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait. Iranian ballistic missiles were intercepted but falling debris destroyed one MQ-9 Reaper and damaged another. All injuries minor. The personnel are a mix of service members and contractors.
- Bloomberg.
Iran, Pakistan Propose Hormuz Deal
Iran and Pakistan sent a revised proposal to Washington to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Bloomberg.
Japan Builds World's Largest Flood Tunnel
Japan has built the world's largest underground flood tunnel, a $2 billion infrastructure project with chambers large enough to hold a space shuttle inside them. Since becoming operational, the system has cut local flood damage by nearly 90%.
- Bloomberg
ADNOC CEO: Oil Recovery Takes Months
ADNOC CEO Al Jaber: At least 4 months to get oil flows back to 80% of pre-conflict levels, even if the war ends tomorrow. Full restoration not expected before early 2027.
Bloomberg.
NATO Mulls Escort Mission in Hormuz
NATO weighing a mission to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz if the blockade holds past early July. Support is building among members, though some resist deeper involvement. - Bloomberg
UAE Failed to Rally Gulf Response
Bloomberg: The UAE tried and failed to get Saudi Arabia and Qatar to coordinate a joint response against Iran during the war.
UAE Struck Iranian Targets: Bloomberg
The UAE struck Iranian targets multiple times before and after the ceasefire, Bloomberg reports. One April 8 strike knocked an oil refinery on Lavan Island offline for months. Abu Dhabi also coordinated with Israel on an April 6 hit on the South Pars Petrochemical complex in Asaluyeh, which produces roughly 50% of Iran's petrochemicals, in response to Tehran's attack on the Borouge plant.
Musk to Join US Delegation for China
Bloomberg report:
Elon Musk is set to join the U.S. delegation for Trump's visit to China.
Modi Urges Indians to Avoid Gold
PM Modi asked Indians to avoid buying gold for at least a year to preserve foreign-exchange reserves. - Bloomberg
US Trade Court Rules Against Tariff
Bloomberg: U.S. trade court has rules against President Trump’s 10% global tariff
China Banks Freeze Loans to Sanctioned Refiners
Bloomberg: China's largest banks have been told to temporarily freeze new loans to five refiners sanctioned by the U.S. over their ties to Iranian oil.
CENTCOM Seeks Dark Eagle Missile Deploy
U.S. Central Command has requested approval to deploy the "Dark Eagle" long-range hypersonic missile to the Middle East to target Iranian ballistic missile launchers beyond the reach of current U.S. systems. The missile has a range of roughly 1,725 miles. If approved, it would be the system's first operational deployment. It has not yet been declared fully ready. - Bloomberg
North Korea Nears U.S. Missile Defense Limit
North Korea's nuclear arsenal is approaching the threshold needed to overwhelm U.S. missile defenses.
The U.S. has 44 ground-based interceptors capable of handling roughly 20–25 incoming missiles.
North Korea is producing 12–15 warheads per year and fielding multiple ICBM types with solid-fuel engines and decoy capabilities.
- Bloomberg.
Iranian Tankers Cluster Near US Blockade
Iranian oil tankers are clustering just short of the U.S. blockade line, according to Bloomberg.
Iran Oil Reserves Near Depletion
NEW 🔴
Iran has 12–22 days of oil storage left. U.S. naval blockade has cut exports by 70%. Strait of Hormuz shipments nearly stopped. Production could drop another 1.5M barrels per day by mid-May.
Bloomberg.