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IRGC Using Hezbollah as Leverage
The IRGC is trying to use Hezbollah as a negotiating asset.
The correct response from the US is to turn that asset into a liability.
U.S. should tell Iran: Your proxy fires on Israel and we walk from the deal.
Iran senses weakness and is exploiting it. This needs to stop immediately.
Speculation on Beirut Strike
I give it a few days before Hezbollah is struck in Beirut again.
It’ll be interesting to see how the regime will act.
I’m not convinced the regime is enjoying this adventure anymore.
US-Iran Ceasefire Odds Drop on Polymarket
Polymarket now gives the US-Iran ceasefire extension a 49% chance by June 30. Down 31 points.
Iran Closes Airspace Amid Attack Fears
Israeli security source: Iran closed its airspace over fears of an Israeli surprise attack, while Israel has not declared the latest round over.
The source says Iran’s latest missile barrage shows its capabilities have not recovered, and there are currently no restrictions on IDF operations in Beirut’s Dahiyeh district. - Israel Hayom
Letter From Christians Found by IDF
Letter from Christian residents found by IDF forces in southern Lebanon.
@amitsegal
Speculation on Trump Leak to Axios
Could it be President Trump leaked to Axios that he’s going to stop an attack, for the reason we are thinking?
Or something else happening.
Iran Unlikely to Surrender Uranium
If Iran were actually going to surrender its uranium stockpile in exchange for Israel holding back, I would say take the deal, Israel hold back your strikes.
But that is not what is happening.
I have been monitoring IRGC channels. There ...
If Iran were actually going to surrender its uranium stockpile in exchange for Israel holding back, I would say take the deal, Israel hold back your strikes.
But that is not what is happening.
I have been monitoring IRGC channels. There is zero indication Iran is volunteering its uranium. Zero. This is their leverage. They know it. We know it. And they are not giving it up.
Iran’s position is not ambiguous. Control over the Strait of Hormuz. Full, unconditional sanction relief. And uranium as an absolute red line. These are not negotiating chips, this is the regimes position.
That is the reality on the ground right now, and not striking back will create a new equation, Israel will not have freedom of operation when dealing with IRGC (Hezbollah) on their borders. This is Israel’s red line.
Israel-Lebanon Deal at Risk
There’s one big issue here that isn’t being addressed.
There’s an agreement between Israel and Lebanon.
Israel will not strike Beirut, if Hezbollah refrains from attacking northern Israel.
Hezbollah will now feel emboldened that Iran has their back.
Not good at all.
School Cancellations in Israel Signal Response
The fact that school is canceled in Israel gives me a slight indication that Israel will be responding.
Time will tell.
Tehran Airspace Closed to Civilian Traffic
Western Tehran airspace closed to all civilian traffic per Iranian NOTAM. Only military, state, medical, and SAR flights are permitted. Eastern Tehran FIR unaffected.
Israel Plans Hospital Underground Moves
Israel preparing to transfer all hospitals to protected areas and underground complexes.
Fighter Jet Activity Over Tehran
NEW: Fighter jet activity reported over Tehran. - Vahid online
UK Has No Nuclear Subs Ready to Deploy
Britain has zero nuclear attack submarines available for deployment. All five operational Astute-class boats are in port for maintenance or repairs, and a sixth has yet to reach readiness. Former commanders warn it undermines deterrence against Russian sub activity.
- The Telegraph
IDF Exposes Hezbollah Tunnel Network
IDF exposes a major Iranian-financed Hezbollah tunnel network in the Shaqif mountains, built inside a civilian zone under six kilometers from Metulla. Designed for hundreds of fighters with long-term quarters, anti-armor platforms, air defense infrastructure, and surgical facilities.
Drones and missiles were launched from the site toward Israel.
The Lebanese Army was asked to address it under the ceasefire understandings. Hezbollah blocked them.
Qatar Issues NOTAM for Alternate Routes
JUST IN 🔴
Qatar has issued a NOTAM establishing temporary alternate flight routes within the Doha Flight Information Region from June 7 through June 14 👀
Speculation on IRGC Response to Israel
If IRGC decides not to carry out an attack on Israel tonight after promising to strike, expect a message like:
“At the request of Pakistan, we have decided not to carry out the strike this time…”
Newlyweds Celebrate Amid Drone Debris
Newlyweds in Zaporizhzhia celebrate as wreckage from downed Russian Shahed drones lights up the sky behind them.
@bayraktar_1love
Iran Faces Dilemma After Israel Strikes Beirut
The Islamic regime is now in a tough spot after Israel struck Beirut.
They promised to strike northern Israel if Israel attacked Beirut.
If they don’t strike, they risk looking very weak, if they do strike, Israel will respond quite harshly.
Heavy U.S. Jet Activity in Al Anbar
NOW
Reports of heavy U.S. jet activity Al Anbar Governorate is Iraq’s largest province, located in western Iraq, about 450KM from Iran. @hey_itsmyturn
Iran Parliament Stays Online Amid Security
Iran's parliament continues to hold sessions via webinar after the Supreme National Security Council did not reply to Speaker Ghalibaf's request for authorization to return to in-person meetings, parliamentary spokesman Abbas Goudarzi said.
The regime is still on their toes...